July 20th Weather Discussion
CAR to the East, Trough to the West
The weather today will basically be another pleasant day across the region. For the most part the day should be dry. The trough that has been situated over the Great Lakes is going to start to lift off to the northeast. Meanwhile the CAR (Central Atlantic Ridge) will begin to start to move towards the west. The skies should mainly be partly sunny across the region but there could be a shower or thunderstorm across the region any given time during the afternoon and or evening.
As far as temperatures are concerned across the region..mid 70s to around 80 in the state of Maine. Across the interior northeast mid 70s to around 80. Into southern new england and SE PA into NJ, low to mid 80s. To the south of the PA/MD line lower 80s. Western PA in the 70-80 range. All and all should be a relatively, dry and pleasant day.
July 19th High temp @ KABE 80
Sunday, July 19, 2009
July 20th Weather Discussion CAR to the East, Trough to the West
July 21st Severe Weather Potential
PARAMETERS CAPE 1000-2000
LI-2 to -6
Lapse Rates 5.5-6.5
800-300 MB Shear 25-30 knots
Triggers..
Mean trough situated over the Great Lakes starting to lift out to the Northeast..S/Ws or impulses embedded within the flow around the trough..CAR (Central Atlantic Ridge) stretching towards the east coast providing a warm and increasingly humid air mass along the east coast and slightly inland...
At this point and time I am not expecting alot of reports but rather more isolated in nature!
Saturday, July 18, 2009
Daily Discussion For July 19th We have stopped sliding:) Its about time!
Daily Discussion For July 19th
We have stopped sliding:) Its about time!
There is one word to sum up todays weather! Pleasant!If you like weather that consists of sunny skies and if you like weather that consists of pleasantly warm temperatures, then you are going to want to go outside and do your favorite activity out under the sun! Because that is what todays weather will feature! Sunny skies.
Temperature wise across the region will also be very pleasant. Across the interior regions of the NE up into the state of Maine temperatures will be between 70-80. Further south across Southern New England into Se PA 80-85, except for Cape Cod in the 70s. Further to the west in western PA.. 70-80. South of PA..on the western side 70-80. On the eastern side...looks like mid 80s.
High temp july 18th @ KABE 78
Friday, July 17, 2009
July 18th Daily Discussion
July 18th Daily Discussion
Going to tbe bottom of the Chute? Depends Where You Are!
Some of us will be going to the bottom..still others of us have started to slide..however...being held up from sliding completely to the bottom. So what does this mean? What is on tap for today?
Well, across the northern New England area..this is one region that has never actually climbed the ladder and once again they are stuck at the bottom of a chute. Their region once again will have the best chance for showers and thundershowers as impulses rotate around the ULL and keep their region wet and cooler then normal. For this region-summer has still yet to happen.
Further to the south..I believe most regions will wake up to cloudy skies...giving away to partial clearing. Sunshine by the afternoon should be pretty much felt all over but the northern regions (NNE)...I would not rule out the chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm but by and far the majority of the region will be dry!
Temperatures are also going to be a contrast as well. Up across Maine temperatures will be in the low 60s to lower 70s. The rest of NNE into interior NY into central PA..temperatures will be in the 70-80 range. Southern New England into SE PA/NJ, low to mid 80s. Western PA...ones that have hit the bottom...60 to around 70. Further to the south... below the PA/MD border-eastern side mid to upper 80s to near 90..Western side...70-80. All and all it will be a pretty pleasant day with lower humidity across the region! Until tomorrow!
July 17th High @ KABE 85 degrees
Severe Weather Potential for July 17th
A cold front moved across the region yesterday during the afternoon and evening. This cold front has stalled to the south and has become stationary. This stationary front during the afternoon into the evening will back up into the area as a warm front. This will bring some warmer air across the eastern side with temps in the 80s. Meanwhile another cold front will be approaching the region late on friday.
Along the original stationary front a wave of low pressure will develop. This low pressure area looks to move over Southeast PA before moving to the east and dissipating.
CAPE levels are marginal at best with 500-1500 generally being the range and the LI is anywhere from 0 to -4, which again is very marginable. However...shear looks to be decent across the area once again with 30 knots + and lapse rates are on the order of 6.0-7.0 across the region.
With another cold front approaching the region this could serve off as a trigger to support severe weather. Best area for severe weather will be southern sections....
Thursday, July 16, 2009
July 17th Weather Discussion Falling down the Chute!
July 17th Weather Discussion
Falling down the Chute!
Today is going to be like falling down the chute in the game of Chutes and Ladders. Or perhaps sliding down a candy cane in Candy Land. However..you want to describe it..temperatures are going to take a step back compared to yesterday! Yesterday was indeed a day that felt like summer! Hot & Humid! KABE made it to 88 at the airport, Philadelphia 91..Hellertown PA , where i was yesterday-93! It was hot!
Today, the weather once again will become more "pleasant" but with pleasant comes cooler temperatures. Well, pleasant will not apply across the usual areas of Northern and Central NJ as they will be facing a better chance of showers and thunderstorms. The rest of us should be under Partly Sunny Skies...Slightly less humidity along with the chance of showers and thunderstorms. However..i feel the day will be mainly rain free!
Temperatures across the region ..upper 60s to mid 70s across Maine...Across the rest of Northern and Central new england 70-80..Further south into southern New England...into south east and south central PA..low to mid 80s..Further west across western Pa 70-80. To the south of PA/MD Mid to upper 80s.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
July 16th Weather Discussion At the top of the Ladder-Looking Down!
July 16th Weather Discussion
At the top of the Ladder-Looking Down!
Once again the weather has taken us to the top of the ladder and we stand looking down as we get ready to take a plunge. However..before we take that plunge we have some heat & humidity to deal with. The weather today is going to be the result of a warm front pushing thru the region bringing heat and humidity to the area. This warm front however will be followed by a cold front later in the evening. The result of the warm & humid air and the strong cold front approaching spells out=thunderstorms. To find out whether they are going to be severe in your area, please see the appropiate thread :)
As far as temperatures are concerned, we will be looking at warmer air across the majority of the region. There always seems to be an exception to this and once again mother nature will not let us down to that exception.That exception will be northern new england where the temperatures will be in the upper 60s to upper 70s. Heading towards the Southeast into Southern New England, temperatures will be in the lower 80s. Travelling further to the south to NYC and then into east central PA and SE PA into NJ temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s and it is not out of the question that some locations could exceed the 80s and hit 90. Keep in mind that dewpoints will be in the 60s to near 70 so it is going to feel like we are stuck in the muck. To the west into western PA and western NY upper 70s to mid 80s. To the south of the PA/MD border..Mid 80s to lower 90s.
If you are out and about travelling or doing outdoor activities today...Keep an eye to the sky and with the humidity levels keep a bottle of water on you at all times. Dehydration is quite common on days like today! Otherwise enjoy the weather!
High temperature July 15th @ KABE was 83
